De Amerikaanse presidentsverkiezingen 2004

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maandag, februari 16, 2004
Van wie komt het gerucht?
Interessante theorie over wie het verhaal over de scharrel van John Kerry met een journaliste van AP naar buiten heeft gebracht door Scott Shields op zijn weblog Demwatch:

It would also seem that such a story is too little, too late to benefit the Dean and Edwards campaigns. It is not, however, too late to benefit the Bush-Cheney reelection team. The GOP would love a juicy story like this to tie Kerry--already a 'Massachusetts liberal' in their eyes--with Bill Clinton.

But if this story is coming too late to benefit Dean or Edwards, it's also likely coming too early to benefit Team W. This is the type of thing that ought to be dropped at the last minute for maximum effect. That way, if the story is in fact explainable, the Kerry campaign would not have time to explain it. And in what is expected to be a very close election, the 1% to 5% of voters who might theoretically be swayed by Kerry's alleged infidelity would make a huge difference.

So my working theory at the moment is that it's actually the Kerry campaign who leaked this story. DC commentator extraordinaire Craig Crawford has said that "the Kerry camp has long expected to deal with this, and have assured party leaders they can handle it." So what's stopping the Kerry campaign from leaking the story to quash it long before November? Leak it, deny it, produce the alibi, end it, and deny Rove & Co. a possible October surprise.

Either way, this is something that Kerry needs to settle NOW.




© Marc van Gestel 2003 - 2004